What's wrong with dosage
Six blind spots, and how to allow for them.
Tried across a full 470-lot yearling sale, classic dosage called a Gr.1 middle-distance family a sprinter, rated sprinter-stayer crosses as "balanced", and put most European pedigrees in the stayers' column. Here's why, and what to look at instead.
The problem with dosage
How to allow for it
1
The dam counts for nothingOnly stallions score. The mare — and everything her family has actually won — is ignored.
Read the dam's family tooThree generations of the female line: what the dam's foals have won, at what level, and her family number.
2
Today's sires score nothingFew current stallions are chefs-de-race, so the most important name in the pedigree — worth 16 of the 64 points — usually adds zero.
Let real results decideThe distances a family has actually won over are better evidence than a sire's group on a list. Use dosage when the family has little to go on.
3
The CD averages away the truthA sprinter crossed with a stayer and a pure middle-distance pedigree can both score a CD of exactly zero.
Look at speed and stamina separatelyCheck the Brilliant and Intermediate points against the Solid and Professional points. A pedigree with plenty of both is not the same as a balanced one.
4
Thin pedigrees swing wildlyA pedigree with only a few dosage points can hit an extreme on one stallion, and the Dosage Index can shoot to infinity.
Treat thin pedigrees with careWhen a pedigree has only a few dosage points, one stallion can swing the figures. Don't lean on them.
5
Built on American racingIts benchmarks come from US dirt racing. European pedigrees, full of stamina influences, get pushed into the stayers' column.
Compare like with likeCompare a pedigree with others in the same sale or the same racing country, not with American benchmarks.
6
A number with no reasonsA DI of 1.67 doesn't tell you why — or whether to believe it.
Ask for the reasonsLook at which stallions make up the figure, and at the races the family actually won, before believing a single number.